Txij Lub Ib Hlis txog Lub Yim Hli, Tuam Tshoj' kev lag luam textile thiab khaub ncaws mus txog US $ 221.83 nphom, ib xyoo-rau-xyoo nce ntawm 8.1% thiab 14.5% nyob rau tib lub sijhawm hauv 2019. Ntawm lawv, kev xa tawm yog USD 203.19 billion, nce ntawm 6.8%, nce ntawm 14.6% tib lub sijhawm xyoo 2019; Kev xa khoom mus txog US $ 18.63 nphom, nce 25%, nce 13% nyob rau tib lub sijhawm xyoo 2019, thiab cov nyiaj tau los ntawm kev ua lag luam nce mus txog $ 184.56 nphom, nce 6.2%, nce 13.7% nyob rau tib lub sijhawm hauv 2019. Thaum Lub Yim Hli, kev lag luam luam ntawm textiles thiab khaub ncaws yog US $ 33.43 nphom, nce me ntsis ntawm 0.2% xyoo-rau-lub xyoo, nce 20.5% piv rau tib lub sijhawm hauv 2019 thiab ib hlis ib hlis nce ntawm 6.8% . Ntawm lawv, kev xa tawm yog USD 30.89 nphom, poob qis ntawm 1.6%, nce ntawm 20.2%tib lub sijhawm xyoo 2019 thiab ib hlis ib hlis nce ntawm 6.8%; Kev xa khoom mus txog USD 2.54 nphom, nce 28.8%, nce 23.2%nyob rau tib lub sijhawm xyoo 2019 thiab ib hlis ib hlis nce ntawm 6.3%. Kev lag luam tshaj tawm ntawm lub hlis yog USD 28.35 nphom, nce 3.8%, 20% nyob rau tib lub sijhawm xyoo 2019 thiab 6.9% ib hlis ib hlis.
Kev rov qab los ntawm kev thov thiab rov qab los ntawm kev xaj yog qhov muaj txiaj ntsig zoo rau kev xa tawm
Hauv thawj yim lub hlis, kev lag luam textile thiab khaub ncaws feem ntau pom tias muaj cov xaj xaj txaus, uas cuam tshuam los ntawm kev poob qis ntawm qhov kev txiav txim tshiab hauv PMI thiab dhau qhov kev cia siab rau kev xa tawm hauv ib nrab xyoo ntawm lub xyoo. Raws li kev txiav txim siab ua ntej, kev xa khoom ntawm textile thiab khaub ncaws feem ntau yog tsav los ntawm yam xws li kev rov qab los ntawm kev thov sab nraud thiab rov qab los ntawm kev xaj los ntawm kev kis mob hnyav nyob rau sab Asia sab hnub tuaj. Kev lag luam rov qab los ntawm kev lag luam tseem ceeb thiab rov qab los ntawm kev thov txawv teb chaws yuav muab kev txhawb zog rau kev txhawb nqa kev xa khoom tsis tu ncua nyob rau xyoo tag nrho raws li qhov xwm txheej ntawm ntau yam tsis paub tseeb thiab tswj kev loj hlob.
Muaj ntau lub tsev tsim khoom hauv ASEAN' cov khaub ncaws tseem ceeb hauv lub tebchaws tau raug kaw vim kev tiv thaiv kev kis mob, tshwj xeeb yog cov nyob rau sab qab teb Nyab Laj thiab ib puag ncig Phnom Penh, Cambodia. Lawv raug yuam kom kaw thaum ib nrab Lub Xya Hli, thiab cov neeg siv khoom lag luam loj hauv EU thiab Tebchaws Meskas tau tawm mus tsis tu ncua ntawm lawv daim ntawv xaj. Tam sim no, qee qhov kev lag luam cuam tshuam tias kev xa rov qab tau ze rau 30% ~ 40% ntawm kev xaj xaj hauv tes, thiab kev lag luam textile thiab khaub ncaws hauv tsev tau ntsib kev nthuav dav luv. Nws tau cia siab tias raws li qhov xwm txheej sib kis hauv lub tebchaws tsim khoom loj xws li ASEAN tau maj mam tswj hwm, cov qauv kev xaj rov qab yuav qeeb hauv lub hlis thib plaub. Hauv qhov ntev, piv nrog Nyab Laj, Cambodia, Myanmar thiab lwm lub tebchaws, Tuam Tshoj tsis muaj kev sib tw zoo dua hauv kev yuav nqi. Tam sim no, kev xaj xaj xaj tsuas yog ib qho tshwm sim luv luv, uas nyuaj rau rov ua tiav rau kev tsim khoom hauv tsev.
Tam sim no, qhov tsis zoo tshaj plaws cuam tshuam rau kev lag luam xa tawm yog qhov nce ntxiv ntawm kev thauj khoom hiav txwv. Thaum lub Cuaj Hli, Tuam Tshoj Textile Import thiab Export Chamber of Commerce tau ua ib puag ncig cov lus nug nug txog kev thauj khoom ntawm cov lag luam. Cov lag luam feem ntau pom tias tam sim no kev thauj khoom tseem tab tom nce. Lub thawv thauj khoom ntawm North American txoj kev yog ze rau US $ 30000, thiab tus nqi thauj khoom ntawm cov tuam txhab tau nce ntau heev. Ib qho ntxiv, vim kev txaus siab ntawm RMB, kev nce nqi ntawm cov khoom lag luam, txwv kev tsim khoom hauv ib cheeb tsam thiab ntau yam ntxiv, cov txiaj ntsig ntawm cov lag luam kev lag luam txawv teb chaws tau poob qis. Cov lag luam tau hais tias tsis muaj txiaj ntsig me me hauv kev xa tawm khaub ncaws, khaub ncaws hauv tsev thiab lwm yam khoom lag luam mus rau Tebchaws Meskas, thiab tau txais kev xaj xaj tsuas yog tswj hwm cov neeg siv khoom. Tom qab Lub Xya Hli xyoo no, kev sib kis hauv Asia sab hnub tuaj tau hnyav dua, thiab ntau qhov kev xaj xaj rov qab los, uas txuas ntxiv ua rau nyuaj rau kev xaj thiab xaj chaw, thiab cuam tshuam kev xa tawm mus rau qee yam. Cov lus nug qhia pom tias qhov tsis ua tiav phau ntawv ntim khoom yog qhov thib ob tsuas yog cuam tshuam ntawm kev nce nqi, thiab kwv yees li 1/3 ntawm cov tuam txhab tshawb fawb teev npe no yog thawj qhov nyuaj hauv kev thauj khoom hiav txwv.
Nyij Pooj' kev xa tawm mus rau Tebchaws Europe thiab Tebchaws Meskas tau rov zoo, thaum ASEAN poob thawj zaug
Thaum Lub Yim Hli, Tuam Tshoj' kev xa tawm mus rau cov lag luam tseem ceeb pom kev ua haujlwm sib txawv. Kev xa tawm ntawm Tebchaws Meskas, European Union thiab Nyij Pooj tau pom qhov rov zoo. Vim muaj kev kis mob hnyav nyob rau sab Asia sab hnub tuaj, Tuam Tshoj' kev xa tawm mus rau ASEAN poob thawj zaug hauv lub xyoo.
Thaum Lub Yim Hli, Tuam Tshoj' kev xa khoom mus rau Tebchaws Meskas poob qis rau plaub lub hlis sib law liag, tab sis kev poob qis mus rau 12.5%, 5 feem pua cov ntsiab lus qis dua li thaum Lub Xya Hli, thiab cov khoom xa tawm mus rau Tebchaws Meskas tseem khaws cia kev loj hlob Txij Lub Ib Hlis txog Lub Yim Hli, Tuam Tshoj' kev xa tawm mus rau Tebchaws Meskas muaj txog 36.88 txhiab nyiaj daus las hauv Asmeskas, nce ib xyoos ib zaug ntawm 2.4%, nce 17.9% nyob rau tib lub sijhawm xyoo 2019. Ntawm lawv , koob hnav khaub ncaws ntawm cov khoom lag luam loj tau nce 40.7%, nce ntawm 8.1% nyob rau tib lub sijhawm xyoo 2019.
Thaum Lub Yim Hli, kev poob qis ntawm Tuam Tshoj' kev xa tawm mus rau EU txuas ntxiv kev cog lus, poob los ntawm 10.5% hauv tib lub hlis, txo qis 15 feem pua ntsiab lus piv rau lub hli dhau los, ntawm qhov kev loj hlob ntawm cov khaub ncaws hnav khaub ncaws ntawm cov khoom lag luam tseem ceeb tau rov zoo los ntawm 6.2%. Txij Lub Ib Hlis txog Lub Yim Hli, Tuam Tshoj' kev xa khoom ntawm textile thiab khaub ncaws mus rau EU muaj txog $ 31.07 nphom, ib xyoos dhau ib xyoo txo 19% thiab nce 12.4% nyob rau tib lub sijhawm xyoo 2019. Ntawm lawv, kev xa tawm ntawm cov khaub ncaws hnav tau nce 15.3%, nce ntawm 2.9% dhau xyoo 2019.
Tuam Tshoj' kev xa khoom mus rau Nyij Pooj tau nce me ntsis thaum Lub Yim Hli, nrog kev xa tawm poob los ntawm 3.8% hauv lub hlis, txo qis 10 feem pua cov ntsiab lus piv rau lub hli dhau los. Qhov poob ntawm koob cov khaub ncaws tsis tso tseg thiab hloov pauv, nce 8.5%. Txawm li cas los xij, nyob rau lub sijhawm ntev, Nyij Pooj kev lag luam tsis muaj lub zog ntawm kev loj hlob ruaj khov thiab tseem yuav txo qis lub suab nrov yav tom ntej. Txij thaum Lub Ib Hlis txog Lub Yim Hli, Tuam Tshoj' kev xa khoom ntawm textile thiab khaub ncaws mus rau Nyij Pooj tau poob los ntawm 8.1% xyoo-rau-lub xyoo, nce ntawm 2.7% nyob rau tib lub sijhawm hauv 2019. Ntawm lawv, cov khoom lag luam tseem ceeb koob cov khaub ncaws nce 7.7% xyoo-rau-lub xyoo thiab txo los ntawm 7.2% piv rau 2019.
Thaum Lub Yim Hli, Tuam Tshoj' kev xa khoom mus rau ASEAN tau poob 5%, uas feem ntau yog rub los ntawm 18% poob ntawm cov khaub ncaws. Txawm hais tias cov xov paj thiab ntaub ntawm cov khoom lag luam tseem tseem khaws cia kev loj hlob, qhov kev loj hlob nqaim mus rau 6.7%. Txij Lub Ib Hlis txog Lub Yim Hli, Tuam Tshoj' kev xa khoom ntawm textile thiab khaub ncaws mus rau ASEAN tau nce 24.3% xyoo-rau-xyoo, nrog kev loj hlob sai tshaj plaws ntawm plaub lub khw loj. Kev nce ntawm 22.2% nyob rau tib lub sijhawm hauv 2019. Ntawm lawv, cov khoom tseem ceeb ntawm cov xov paj thiab ntaub tau nce 30.5% xyoo-rau-lub xyoo thiab 6.1% dhau xyoo 2019.
Nws tsim nyog sau cia tias los ntawm cov ntaub ntawv ntshuam ntawm peb lub lag luam tseem ceeb, Tuam Tshoj' kev suav sau tag nrho tau nce ntxiv tsis zoo txij li Lub Xya Hli thiab Lub Ib Hlis Lub Xya Hli, thiab qhov poob ntawm cov ntaub ntawv tiv thaiv kev kis mob yog qhov laj thawj tseem ceeb. Cov tuam txhab tsis ntev los no tau tshaj tawm tias nws yog ib qho rau ASEAN' cov neeg sib tw tseem ceeb kom xa rov qab xaj mus rau Tuam Tshoj vim muaj kev rov kis mob ntau dua, tab sis nws tsis tau qhia meej los ntawm cov ntaub ntawv ntshuam ntawm cov lag luam tseem ceeb thaum Lub Xya Hli. EU, Tebchaws Asmeskas thiab Nyij Pooj txhua tus tau pom kev poob qis hauv Suav teb' kev xa khoom tuaj, thiab feem ntawm Tuam Tshoj' cov khoom lag luam hauv khw tau raug txo qis ntxiv.
Txij Lub Ib Hlis txog Lub Xya Hli, 27 lub tebchaws EU tau xa $ 73.83 nphom los ntawm ntiaj teb, nqis 5.6%, 34.4%los ntawm Tuam Tshoj, suav txog 32%, nqis los ntawm tib lub sijhawm hauv 2020 thiab tseem siab dua tib lub sijhawm hauv 2019. Ntawm lawv, textiles suav txog 41% thiab khaub ncaws suav txog 28.2%, ob qho qis dua xyoo 2020 thiab siab dua tib lub sijhawm hauv 2019. ASEAN' txoj haujlwm kev lag luam tau txhim kho ntxiv. EU' textile thiab khaub ncaws tuaj ntawm ASEAN tau nce 30.6%, suav txog 13.2%, ob qho tib si siab dua ob xyoos dhau los.
Txij Lub Ib Hlis txog Lub Xya Hli, Tebchaws Asmeskas tau xa $ 76.75 txhiab daus las los ntawm lub ntiaj teb, nce 16.6%, thiab kev xa khoom los ntawm Tuam Tshoj poob 9.7%, suav txog 30.2%, qis dua tib lub sijhawm xyoo 2020 thiab 2019. Ntawm lawv, textiles suav txog 29.8%thiab khaub ncaws suav txog 21.5%, qis dua tib lub sijhawm hauv xyoo 2019 thiab 2020. Textile thiab khaub ncaws tuaj ntawm ASEAN tau nce 32.1%, suav txog 25.6%, ob qho siab dua ob xyoos dhau los.
Txij Lub Ib Hlis txog Lub Xya Hli, Nyij Pooj tau xa $ 20.04 nphom los ntawm ntiaj teb, poob 7.1%, thiab kev xa khoom los ntawm Tuam Tshoj poob 13.8%. Tuam Tshoj suav txog 54.7%, qis dua tib lub sijhawm hauv 2020, tab sis siab dua tib lub sijhawm hauv 2019. Ntawm lawv, textiles suav txog 57.4%, qis dua tib lub sijhawm hauv 2020 thiab siab dua tib lub sijhawm hauv 2019; Cov khaub ncaws suav txog 53.8%, siab dua tib lub sijhawm hauv 2020 thiab qis dua tib lub sijhawm hauv xyoo 2019. Textile thiab khaub ncaws tuaj ntawm ASEAN tau nce 1.9%, suav txog 29.5%, ob qho siab dua ob xyoos dhau los.
Kev xa tawm ntawm kev tiv thaiv kev kis kab mob rau textiles rau ASEAN rov zoo
Thaum Lub Yim Hli, kev xa tawm ntawm textile tau poob los ntawm 14.2% hauv tib lub hlis, uas yog qhov me dua li yav dhau los. Ntawm lawv, cov xov paj, ntaub thiab cov khoom tiav tau nce los ntawm 43.6% thiab 26.6% raws li xyoo-rau-lub xyoo, thiab cov khoom tiav tau poob los ntawm 39%. Cov khaub ncaws xa tawm khaws cia kev loj hlob nruab nrab ntawm 9.6%. Kev xa tawm cov ntaub ntawv tiv thaiv kev kis mob, uas tau poob qis nyob rau theem pib, tau rov zoo me ntsis, tshwj xeeb tshaj yog nyob rau sab Asia sab hnub tuaj, qhov chaw muaj kev sib kis tshwm sim dua. Txij thaum Lub Xya Hli mus txog Lub Yim Hli, kev xa tawm lub npog ntsej muag kho mob mus rau ASEAN tag nrho yog US $ 380 lab, uas nres tsis ntog thiab thim rov qab, nrog nce 5.9%. Thaum Lub Yim Hli, kev xa tawm cov khaub ncaws tiv thaiv mus rau ASEAN tau nce ntau los ntawm 83% ib hlis ib hlis piv rau Lub Xya Hli.
Los ntawm Lub Ib Hlis txog Lub Yim Hli, kev xa tawm ntawm cov khoom lag luam yog USD 93.8 nphom, ib xyoos dhau ib xyoo txo 11%, nce ntawm 18.2% nyob rau tib lub sijhawm hauv 2019, thiab kev xa tawm cov khaub ncaws yog USD 109.39 nphom, ib xyoo -on-year nce ntawm 28.8%, nce ntawm 11.7%nyob rau tib lub sijhawm hauv 2019. Ntawm lawv, kev xa tawm tag nrho ntawm lub qhov ncauj qhov ntswg thiab khaub ncaws tiv thaiv yog US $ 11.442 nphom, ib xyoo poob ntawm 79%. Tom qab tshem daim npog qhov ncauj, cov ntaub ntawv tau nce 40% xyoo-rau-lub xyoo, nce 11.9% nyob rau tib lub sijhawm xyoo 2019; Cov khaub ncaws uas tsis muaj khaub ncaws tiv thaiv tau nce 42% xyoo-rau-xyoo thiab 10.5% dhau xyoo 2019. Daim npog qhov ncauj thiab khaub ncaws tiv thaiv yog 5.6% ntawm tag nrho cov khoom xa tawm. Kev loj hlob ntawm cov xov paj, cov ntaub thiab cov ntaub qhwv cov khaub ncaws ntawm cov khoom lag luam loj yog 48.1%, 40.7% thiab 26.6% feem.
Kev xa tawm ntawm cov xeev thiab nroog tseem ceeb tau zoo dua li lub hli dhau los
Thaum Lub Yim Hli, qhov xwm txheej xa tawm ntawm cov xeev loj thiab nroog hauv Suav teb tau zoo dua li lub hli dhau los. Ntawm tsib lub xeev thiab nroog tshaj plaws, Zhejiang tsis txuas ntxiv qhov poob ntawm lub hli dhau los. Kev xa tawm kev loj hlob ntawm lub hlis tam sim no rov pib dua 12.4%, kev xa tawm kev loj hlob ntawm Shandong thiab Fujian rov zoo dua piv rau lub hli dhau los, Jiangsu nres poob thiab tig rov qab, nrog kev nce ntawm 7.5%, thiab poob qis ntawm Guangdong nqaim mus rau 30%.
Txij Lub Ib Hlis txog Lub Yim Hli, tsib lub xeev thiab nroog saum toj kawg nkaus hauv kev xa tawm qeb tau nce kev loj hlob tshwj tsis yog Guangdong. Zhejiang, Jiangsu, Shandong thiab Fujian tau nce 14.3%, 9.2%, 21%thiab 28.2%feem, thiab Guangdong poob los ntawm 8.1%. Kev loj hlob ntawm Xinjiang thiab Hebei tseem nyob saum toj, nrog kev nce ntawm 81% thiab 45% feem.
Kev xa khoom ntawm cov khoom tseem ceeb tau nce
Kev xa khoom tuaj txawv teb chaws tau txais txiaj ntsig zoo, nrog kev xa khoom nce ntxiv hauv peb lub hlis sib law liag thiab ua tiav ob-tus lej kev loj hlob rau rau lub hlis sib law liag xyoo-rau-xyoo. Thaum Lub Yim Hli, kev xa khoom yog USD 2.54 nphom, nrog rau ib xyoo-rau-lub xyoo thiab lub hlis ntawm kev loj hlob ntawm 28.8% thiab 6.3% feem. Ntawm lawv, kev xa khoom ntawm textiles yog US $ 1.42 nphom, nce xyoo-rau-xyoo ntawm 34%, thiab cov khaub ncaws tuaj txawv teb chaws yog $ 1.12 nphom, nce 22.6%. Kev xa khoom ntawm cov xov paj, ntaub thiab xov paj ntaub tau nce 46.3%, 36.9% thiab 26.1% feem.
Txij lub Ib Hlis txog Lub Yim Hli, kev xa khoom ntawm cov xov paj, ntaub thiab xov paj ntaub tau nce los ntawm 43.5%, 18.3% thiab 39.2% feem, txhua qhov hauv kev loj hlob sai.
Cov paj rwb xa tuaj poob sai hauv ib hlis nkaus xwb
Txij li thaum pib ntawm lub xyoo, cov khoom siv paj rwb tau qhia pom qhov sib txawv ntawm kev txo tus nqi, kev ntim khoom tau poob ib hlis dhau ib hlis, thiab cov nqi ntshuam tau nce ib hlis ib hlis. Thaum Lub Yim Hli, cov paj rwb xa mus txuas ntxiv txuas ntxiv, nrog 87000 tons tau xa tawm lub hlis ntawd, poob rov qab rau qib thaum Lub Rau Hli xyoo tas los, poob 39% xyoo-rau-lub xyoo thiab 39.9% ib hlis ib hlis. Tus nqi ntawm paj rwb txawv teb chaws txuas ntxiv mus, nce mus rau US $ 2100 / tuj hauv tib lub hlis, nce 39%.
Txij thaum Lub Ib Hlis txog Lub Yim Hli, kev suav sau cov paj rwb tau nce sai, nrog kev suav sau ntawm 1.777 lab tons los ntawm lub ntiaj teb, nce ib xyoos ib zaug nce ze li 50%. Tus nqi ntshuam nruab nrab yog 1860 Asmeskas las / tuj, nce 9.4%.
Raws li cov ntaub ntawv tshaj tawm los ntawm Tuam Txhab Tuam Txhab Tuam Txhab Tuam Tshoj, thaum Lub Yim Hli, kev lag luam textile tseem ruaj khov, tus nqi paj rwb hauv tsev txuas ntxiv mus, txhua qhov kev lag luam ntawm paj rwb khaws cia txuas ntxiv mus, cov khoom lag luam muag khoom poob qis, thiab cov khoom lag luam nce ntxiv tsis tu ncua.
Thaum Lub Yim Hli, qhov kev sib pauv ntawm lub log paj rwb tshwj xeeb tau kub, thiab tus nqi ntawm paj rwb tau nce txhua txoj hauv kev, nce siab txhua xyoo thaum Lub Yim Hli 18, nrog tus nqi 18542 yuan / tuj; Thaum kawg Lub Rau Hli, lub xeev tau tshaj tawm txoj cai txwv tsis pub cov lag luam textile los ntawm kev sib tw rau cov paj rwb khaws cia, thiab tus nqi paj rwb hauv tsev poob qis me ntsis. Lub Yim Hli 31, Tuam Tshoj' paj rwb tus nqi ntsuas (ccindex3128b) yog 18127 yuan / tuj, nce ntawm 396 yuan piv nrog Lub Xya Hli 30, ib xyoos ib xyoos nce ntawm 5419 yuan; Tus nqi nruab nrab txhua hli yog 18016 yuan / tuj, nrog rau lub hlis ntawm ib hlis nce ntawm 1071 yuan thiab nce ib xyoos ib zaug ntawm 5540 yuan. Cov paj rwb thoob ntiaj teb tau nce nrawm thiab qhov sib txawv ntawm cov paj rwb sab hauv thiab sab nrauv tau nqaim thaum kawg ntawm lub hlis. Tuam Tshoj' cov khoom siv paj rwb tuaj txawv teb chaws tus lej index FC yog 105.05 xees / phaus, nce 5.34 xees ib hlis ib hlis thiab 34.91 xees ib xyoo-rau-xyoo. Lub Yim Hli 31, tus nqi yog 107 xees / phaus, nce 5.08 xees ib hlis ib hlis. Qhov 1% tus nqi se tau txo los ntawm 17037 yuan / tuj, uas qis dua 1090 yuan ntawm qhov chaw nyob hauv tib lub sijhawm. Tus nqi sib txawv ntawm paj rwb hauv tsev thiab txawv teb chaws yog 590 yuan qis dua li qhov kawg ntawm lub hli tas los.
